Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 46.124239 53.303519 60.718665 68.912574 77.677927 86.741065 96.788391
2026-02-08 35.005420 45.086118 56.068169 68.763495 82.890667 98.000982 115.262423
2026-02-15 27.967301 39.402526 52.398362 67.930427 85.695029 105.126074 127.748952
2026-02-22 23.653903 36.137201 50.856293 68.936217 90.065483 113.572133 141.324999
2026-03-01 20.434916 33.706435 49.891409 70.251579 94.479783 121.809096 154.435958
2026-03-08 16.791402 30.268757 47.336736 69.359934 96.058831 126.594655 163.449450
2026-03-15 13.491470 26.855784 44.480580 67.818155 96.631828 130.025472 170.743987
2026-03-22 12.421107 26.396975 45.310806 70.753582 102.508175 139.594095 185.080106
2026-03-29 11.003886 25.251832 45.110381 72.291529 106.612528 147.022903 196.890553
2026-04-05 9.083144 23.089344 43.363648 71.712350 108.009630 151.157677 204.783534
2026-04-12 7.443007 21.131743 41.737587 71.162241 109.343130 155.140207 212.434897
2026-04-19 6.295216 19.827040 40.925907 71.603183 111.855832 160.496074 221.674575
2026-04-26 5.013165 18.081138 39.368505 70.989483 113.018572 164.233940 229.040517
2026-05-03 4.030859 16.710959 38.264216 70.918978 114.827662 168.732253 237.301707
2026-05-10 3.051546 15.105072 36.660825 70.056991 115.538355 171.824226 243.827471
2026-05-17 2.536123 14.404774 36.429077 71.082549 118.684014 177.909723 253.955917
2026-05-24 2.135196 13.880400 36.436620 72.419599 122.221113 184.472020 264.658629
2026-05-31 1.504314 12.520284 34.942126 71.513030 122.731767 187.216840 270.691616
2026-06-07 0.938708 11.019536 33.062809 69.945064 122.287827 188.711142 275.156528
2026-06-14 0.881023 11.235363 34.237124 72.930095 127.992709 197.980427 289.163616
2026-06-21 0.712187 10.950789 34.475891 74.493657 131.762866 204.796576 300.159588
2026-06-28 0.429870 9.957817 33.326991 73.904860 132.568331 207.823673 306.475370
2026-07-05 0.227761 9.041817 32.233837 73.345585 133.376296 210.827951 312.743934